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Sabtu, 01 Januari 2011

Fundamental Analysis

Basic fundamental analysis is the information / news (news) derived from:
1. Agency Official / Government
2. Print media / electronic
3. Individual

In accordance with the source, then the Fundamental methods are subjective, depending on the degree of confidence Investor / Consultant to the source of the news. Basic Fundamental analysis is the information / news (news) derived from:

1. Agency Official / Government
2. Print media / electronic
3. Individual
In accordance with the source, then the Fundamental methods are subjective, depending on the degree of confidence Investor / Consultant to the source of the news.
Nature of Fundamental news is grouped into two namely:


1. Demand is Bullish News

Bullish derived from the word 'bull' (bull); trait describe market price movements look as if it will decrease, but actually it will go up (like a bull to gore the enemy movement, namely gore, then thrown to the top). Examples are Bullish news from the Reuter / print media:

- Bad weather / storm / unfavourable,
- 3-6 conseccutive (consecutive) days up / firmer (strength)
- Triggered Buying, Bottomside / bottomout, Buying Power, etc.


2. News Offer / Supply is Bearish

Bearish derived from the word 'bear' (bear); trait describe market price movements look as if they will rise, but the actual price will go down (similar to a bear movement gripped the prey, which is lifted and then slam). Examples are Bearish news from Reuter / print media:

- Weather good / favorable, 3-6 consecutive days down / Easier (weakened)
- Lack of Demand (demand deficiency)
- Triggered Selling, topside capped (Peak has been reached), Harvesting
- Selling Power, Ample of stock (stock abundance), etc..

Factors that affect analytical fundmental
Analysis: Economic, Political, Security (global, regional, state)
Determinants: The speed of obtaining information
Source of information: Information Processing & forecasting (prediction)

Here are some data Economy and Its Effect on U.S. Dollar:


No.
 Economic Indicator
 Naik / Turun
 US$
1
Average Earning
Naik
Menguat
2
Balance of Payment
Naik
Menguat
3
Budget Deficit
Turun
Menguat
4
Business Inventories
Turun
Menguat
5
Capacity Utilization
Naik
Menguat
6
Car Sales
Naik
Menguat
7
Chicago PMI (Purchasing Management Index)
Naik
Menguat
8
Constuction Spending
Naik
Menguat
9
Consumer Confidence Index (CCI)
Naik
Menguat
10
Consumer Credit (CI)
Naik
Menguat
11
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
Turun
Menguat
12
Consumer Spending (Expenditure)
Turun
Menguat
13
Cost of Living
Naik
Menguat
14
Current Acount
Turun
Menguat
15
Corporate Profit
Naik
Menguat
16
Deflasi
Naik
Menguat
17
Discount Rate
Naik
Menguat
18
Durabel Goods Orders
Naik
Menguat
19
Econimic Monetary System (EMS)
Naik
Menguat
20
Factory Orders
Naik
Menguat
21
Federal Budget
Naik
Menguat
22
Federal Reserve Fund
Naik
Menguat
23
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Naik
Menguat
24
Gross National Product (GNP)
Naik
Menguat
25
Housing Start
Naik
Menguat
26
Industrial Productions
Naik
Menguat
27
Invisible Trade
Turun
Menguat
28
Jobless Claims
Naik
Menguat
29
Leading Indicator
Naik
Menguat
30
Money Supply (M1, M2, M3, M4)
Naik
Menguat
31
National Association
Naik
Menguat
32
(NAPM)
Naik
Menguat
33
Non Farm Payrolls
Naik
Menguat
34
Personal Expenditure
Naik
Menguat
35
Personal Income
Turun
Menguat
36
Prime Rate
Naik
Menguat
37
Product Price Index (PPI)
Naik
Menguat
38
Public Sector Debt Repayment
Naik
Menguat
39
Retail Sales
Turun
Menguat
40
Trade Balance
Naik
Menguat
41
Trade Devicit
Turun
Menguat
42
Trade Weighted Index
Turun
Menguat
43
Unemployment Rate
Turun
Menguat
44
Unit Labour Cost
Naik
Menguat
45
Value Added Tax
Naik
Menguat
46
Visible Trade
Naik
Menguat

(source: http://www.afunfx.blogspot.com)

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